Here is a reply to that video by UK ICU doctor Dr Dominic Pimenta
"MSI Fact Check: Dr Dominic Pimenta (UK ICU doctor, director MSI) watches Ivor Cummins (@fatemperor) video "Viral issue, crucial update" and does a live fact check.
Summary:
1. Claims 20% of the population were infected by COVID (no evidence to date of that level of infection, serology estimates around 6%)
2. Claims 80% of the unexposed population are already immune through T-Cell crossreactivity with COVID - best prevalence studies show 20-50% cross-reactive T-cells and NO EVIDENCE PRODUCES IMMUNITY
3. Ignores the fact that if the above were true we would ALREADY HAVE HERD IMMUNITY.
4. Claims to be a 'scientist'- no publications, 'research' pulled from Twitter with no references and many incorrect attributions to actual papers.
5. Confuses the seasons on multiple occasions, including the summer.
6. Attributes fall in cases and deaths in countries with full lockdown to immunity, without any evidence.
7. Claims Sweden had 'minimal distancing methods' and is now 'immune' - Sweden had 50% working from home, a reduction in 40% travel in Stockholm and 25% reduction in spending, banned mass gatherings early March and advised to avoid travel and shielded 70s at the same time. Took a 8% drop in GDP as well.
8. Ignores many countries that were successful on economy and virus control (South Korea, Singapore, Germany)
9. Contrasts measures taken with Spanish Flu (essentially none in 1918) with the above measures taken in Sweden and concludes lockdown doesn't work - the opposite is demonstrated.
10. Claims a R value of 0.39 suggests a very strong correlation, when this would be considered weak.
11. Discusses 'fatality rate' without reference to either IFR or CFR.
12. Claims initially that epidemic is 'over' due to immunity, but then later that a 'second hump' is normal, despite this being directly contradictory to two earlier statements.
13. Goes on to claim that the summer is the time to build immunity, despite directly contradicting his own points in the prior three claims.
14. Neglects to mention that healthcare workers have been found to be 2.5x as likely to contract COVID than the general pop. and ICU workers 0.7x due to the PPE (including full respiratory masks).
15. Neglects to mention multiple meta-analyses of observational data concluding masks are very effective for reducing spread of respiratory viruses.
16. Neglects to mention widespread mask use has been common in Asia for over a decade.
17. Neglects to mention early mask use in Vietnam was associated with the best COVID outcomes in the world, despite minimal resources.
18. Claims rise in cases in the UK is due to over testing - between 1st Aug and 1st Septemeber the number of tests performed in the UK was static, while cases rose 292%. The percentage positive has also increased
19. Claims this is due to PCR testing - hospitalisations in the past fornight have tripled and patients in hospital WITH COVID have doubled.
20. Then claims this is part of the 'normal' winter excess death, despite mixing up excess death and COVID specific death
21. Provides no calculations or working and appears to have no medical, epidemiological, virological, genetic qualification or papers published with peer-review.
22. Claims a new wave in winter is normal for coronavirus, despite claiming on four occassions that we are now immune to SARS COV 2.
23. Claims lastly that we have ancestral community immunity in the summer - despite cases being traditionally very low and therefore exposure very low. Does not propose a mechanism where humans can produce immunity without exposure. (There isn't one)
24. Then claims this is 'science' - despite no attempt to engage with any scientific process of peer-review, observable or verifiable results.
25. Calls his network of Twitter enthusiasts 'solid scientists' ..... case closed.
He finishes with claiming that we will 'have blood on our hands'. As an ICU doctor, having seen first hand the effects of this virus on real people, many of whom lost their lives and the tragedy for the families of what is an avoidable illness, to claim, based wholly on pseudoscience and apparently random Twitter photos, to have a useful understanding to advise the public is frankly abhorrent.
Just do the basics: wash your hands, cover your face, keep space and follow the guidelines."
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